by
Lauren Phillips
on Tue 22 May 2007 14:14 BST |
Permanent Link
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Cosmos
Chavez is getting ever bolder. As he consolidates all instruments of state
power into his hands, undermining Venezuelan democracy in the process (as
commented on previous posts on this blog), he has also struck out in a new
direction in the international realm: independence from the international
financial system.
Chavez’s government announced during
the first week of May that it planned to withdraw its membership from the
International Monetary Fund, a first for a major emerging market country. The announcement created a momentary panic
amongst financial analysts because many of Venezuela’s sovereign bonds contain
clauses which stipulate that membership is required for the ongoing validity of
the bond. Market watchers speculated
that a number of bond holders would demand early repayment, alleging "technical default."
But the markets did not panic –
Perhaps because they are becoming accustomed to Chavez’s feisty rhetoric: the withdrawal
from the Bretton Woods institutions was announced the same day as further
nationalisations of the country’s oil resources. But perhaps because they see a method to
Chavez’s madness?
Almost simultaneously with the
withdrawal came acceleration of plans to build the Banco del
Sur, or Bank of the South, a regional development bank with Venezuela, Brazil and other regional powers as
its members. While the utility of
another development bank in the Latin American region where each sub-region and
many individual countries have their own development banks is questionable (in
addition of course to the enormous World Bank and dominant Inter-American Development
Bank which invest heavily in the region), Chavez’s idea to use Venezuelan
petro-dollars to fund development in the region is not a bad one. The details of the bank are still under
negotiation (indeed the Economist reports that Brazil and Venezuela are quietly
arguing about how the Bank is structured and what’s its goals are) and a
successful bank would require carefully planned architecture as well as many
checks and balances to ensure that the money goes to the neediest countries,
sub-regions or cities with capacity to spend efficiently. But the idea of using Latin American money to
fund Latin American development on terms decided amongst Latin American
governments is very much in line with development best practice and the tenets of
agreements such as the Monterrey Consensus on Finance for Development.
So finally something to cheer about
in Venezuela? As above, the real details of the Banco del
Sur remain to be seen, but if Brazil
and other more democratic governments in the region can play down the politics
and play up the need for more financing for development in Latin
America, the proposal doesn’t look half bad.